Lok Sabha polls | The Tamil Nadu scenario | The Hindu

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Published 2024-01-31
While the country is set to face the Lok Sabha polls in April or so, in Tamil Nadu the alliance formations and seat-sharing talks are still a work in progress. Six months ago the NDA and the INDIA alliance took shape at the national level. Much water has flown in Tamil Nadu since then. There has been some realignment on the ground since then.

The AIADMK snapped ties with the BJP and pulled out of the NDA. While the INDIA bloc has suffered some setbacks nationally, in Tamil Nadu the alliance led by the DMK seems intact. The Congress and DMK have had a round of seat-sharing talks and the national party had described the talks as positive and pleasant.

Technically speaking, there is hardly any NDA in Tamil Nadu. The BJP is looking to head an alliance and it is more or less assured of getting the support of TTV Dinakaran’s AMMK, and expelled AIADMK leader O. Panneerselvam.

The AIADMK has not been able to find any significant allies after exiting the NDA. At the same time, there is a small section in the BJP that hopes to reunite with the AIADMK in the hope that it would yield better prospects in the Lok Sabha polls. However, supporters of the BJP State President K. Annamalai are opposed to any reconciliation. They feel the party has grown in Tamil Nadu and must prepare for the long term.

Seeman’s Naam Tamilar Katchi is also expected to be in the fray in all 39 Lok Sabha seats, making it a four-cornered contest.

Will there by any political realignment? Where will the smaller parties head? Will the BJP be able to improve its vote share and would the AIADMK retain its vote share?

Presentation: D. Suresh Kumar
Videography: Thamodharan B.
Production: Shibu Narayan

#tamilnadu #india #dmk

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All Comments (21)
  • @anilganjoo8401
    No alliance with AIADMK. BJPshould fight on their own. Winning or loosing should not bother BJP because it is winning 2024 elections handsdown without any MPs from Tamil Nadu.😊😊😊😊
  • @arjunm32
    Annamali is a great leader ❤️
  • So called left reporters and media 😂😂😂 Hold my 🍺 Bjp may be or may not be win in Kanyakumari There will be a chance to regain kanyakumari again in tn
  • @Kaverikondan
    நாம் தமிழர் ❤ NTK 🐅🐅🐅
  • @user-wv9tk3wx9o
    Dravidian votes will be split between DMK and AIADMK. So BJP has a big chance here
  • @lightboi9752
    No one is talking about the finances of TN elections. Election in TN are very very costly. DMK, AIADMK and INC have very strong financier network in TN. It will take BJP some time to match their level of finance. "Ore oru quarter" voters will swing elections to any side. BJP will have to fight elections keeping their cash constraint in mind.
  • Real Fact is 🔥🔥🔥Naam Thamizhar Vs Other Alliances 🔥🔥🔥🔥
  • @KillerEyes-vk4vy
    In odisha..very few ever see a bjp worker on groud...still 8 out of 21 taken by bjp in 2019 election..it's clear that people r voting for pm seat despite of non bjp and non hindi speaking state...and same will happen in tn..do not think that people r close their eyes on center politics ...so silent voters r ace card for bjp in tn ...
  • I trust only 1 political analysis. That is of Prashant Kishor. He said recently that BJP will get 7-12% votes. This could even reach 15%. This is going to realignTamil politics. DMK should therefore contest most seats and not give many seats to all allies.
  • @rajid2830
    Very nice analysis about the poll scenario in TN👍