Tom Dwan Is DEVASTATED!!!!! [$1,000,000+ POT]
Published 2024-06-12
When you have a draw on a paired board with a deep stack you will often have reverse-implied odds. If you hit a card to make your hand, you may end up losing more money because your opponent could improve to a stronger hand. Hitting a flush on a paired board could give your opponent a full house. Be sure to proceed with caution with these types of hands when you are playing deep stacked poker.
Tom Dwan also known as durrrr from his online days is a 36 year old American professional poker player. He is a favorite poker player for many around the world as they would watch him battle in the highest stakes cash games on Full Tilt Poker before poker’s Black Friday hit. He was a regular on Poker After Dark and High Stakes Poker. He is known for his fearless style and big bluffs. Today, Tom is mostly known to play in high stakes private games in Asia. He is also often seen on the Triton poker tour playing in the largest buy-in poker tournaments in the world. He has over $6,800,000 in live tournament earnings. Since 2008, Tom Dwan has played on over 187 live cash game streams and has won over $4,000,000. He is ranked in the top 2 biggest live cash game winners ever as reported by TrackingPoker.
Peter is a Chinese high stakes poker player and an avid pumpkin eater according to the commentators. He has made multiple appearances on televised cash game shows such as Hustler Casino Live and Bally Poker Live and he is known to want to play any stakes. Since 2022, Peter has played on over 18 live cash game streams and has won over $3,700,000. He is ranked in the top 3 biggest live cash game winners as reported by TrackingPoker.
Hustler Casino Live is a full-scale, high-value poker production. Close to a million dollars was spent transforming the casino’s high-limit poker room, the Crystal Room, into the set of this new state-of-the-art live poker show. Hustler Casino Live looks more like coverage of a TV broadcast sporting event and appeals to those beyond the poker community. Unscripted and unedited, they host regular poker streams such as ‘Max Pain Monday’ and ‘Thirsty Thursday’. Some of the most notable poker players to have appeared on the show are Phil Ivey ‘The Tiger Woods of Poker’ ‘RaiseOnce’, Tom Dwan ’durrrr’, Phil Hellmuth ‘The Poker Brat’, Chris Moneymaker, Doug Polk ‘WCGRider, Garrett Adelstein ‘Gman’, Tony Guoga ‘Tony G’ and many more.
This was from the first day of the 2024 edition of the highly anticipated Million Dollar Game, which had a $1,000,000 minimum buy-in. The game was streamed for four evenings straight and featured an array of professionals and businessmen competing against one another. The players included: Doug Polk, Tom Dwan, Alan Keating, Santhosh Suvarna, Peter, Hook, Brandon Steven, Stanley, Rahul, Steve, Texas Mike, Rahul, and a mysterious guest called Thomas.
🔍 Preflop:
With the $2,000 straddle on, Peter raises to $4,000 from under-the-gun with pocket tens. Steve decides to call with his AJ of diamonds from the cutoff. Tom Dwan calls with 94 of hearts on the button and Hook defends his big blind with 75o.
💸 Flop - 6d 4d 4s:
Every player catches a piece of the low-paired board. Hook has an open-ended straight draw, Peter has an overpair, Steve flops two overs and the nut flush draw, and Dwan has flopped trip fours. Hook checks and Peter fires a continuation bet of $8,000. Steve calls before Dwan decides to raise to $36,000. This forces Hook out with his draw but Peter and Steve both call as the three of them head to the turn.
💣 Turn - Tc:
Peter hits his miracle card as he fills up to a boat as the ten of clubs drops on the turn. Peter checks, Steve who is now drawing dead, checks too. Dwan bets $76,000 with his three-of-a-kind thinking he still has the best hand. Only Peter calls and they head to the river heads-up.
🌊 River - 2h:
Dwan doesn’t find the miracle one-outer to improve to quads on the 2 of hearts river. Peter checks with the second nuts. Dwan, still thinking he has the best hand, fires out another bet, this time for $167,000. Peter is clearly going to check-raise, but to how much, and will the high stakes poker legend Durrrr manage to get away? Stay tuned to the end of this poker video to find out!
#pokerstrategy #hustlercasinolive #highstakespoker
All Comments (21)
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What bluffs do YOU think Peter would have here? 🤔
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Applying range logic: in Peter's value hands, he has full houses (66 and TT, probably not 22), bigger 4s (A4s, K4s, Q4s), 35D; he could be bluffing AxD that missed (let's say down to AT), and he might do this with 57D - by my count that's about 4-5 bluffs, and 16 value hands vs what I have. He's probably just calling the bigger 4s, so maybe we discount that to raising with 13 value hands, calling with all 4s, bluffing with missed nut flush and straight flush draws. There's still 75% value to 25% bluff, and he's getting 3/1 odds on the call - so it's close.
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River check pros: - Tom cards are not blocking missed flush and straight draws and on the board both possibility was there (So Peter could easily missed). - Peter pre flop raise as there was no re-raise lets him to have a wide range, so overpairs are just a 1/5 or 1/4 portion of his range probably and 66, 1010 is definitely in his range too. - From Peter position with any boat trapping also make sense, so his check action could be a monster or a boat also. - Peter can also have A4 what beats 49. - On the turn, after Peter there was one more action, so probably you fold an overpair at this point, but he called, what is at least looks stronger than calling from Steve position. - If you bet it will be very unlikely that is a bluff as so many things missed on the board, so it is too obvious you have smtg as the board is totally non ideal to find any bluff. - Peter was not in tilt, he had already an upswing, but yes, he is capable bluff in general. cons: - Peter was the pre flop agressor, raiser what makes his range more likely overpairs. I think checking back the river at least should be hardly considered by Tom Dawn, but here he was already a bit tilted, also prev day he ended up in negative. On Peter river raise action... folding pros: - Peter sizing was not bluffish at all. - bluffing on this board is a terrible idea as nothing get there. - using the range advantage to have an overpair here not anymore a make sense story as with overpairs everyone would only call, there is no value here only risk. - Peter was not tilted - could be also a value bet with A4. cons: - the price to take the pot is not much - Peter is capable for crazy bluffs So on the river Peter raise action Tom should more likely to fold I believe.
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That’s a hard fold I can’t see myself folding but I more than likely wouldn’t be in the hand in the 1st place
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ten of diamonds ott would of been diabolical
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The River is a fold as played, and frankly, he should have checked back. He is up against either 66 or TT or 64 way too often. What hand does Dwan think is going to call his River raise, that Dwan beats? 54, 34, 74. It would be weird for any of those hands to be unsuited, so that only leaves Clubs and Hearts. The missed flush draw is unlikely to call, it will either fold or bet, and because it is VERY easy for Dwan to have a stupid kind of 4 here, and Dwan doesn't like to fold trips, he is literally setting himself up to be in a difficult position, without much upside. Turning your trips into a bluff catcher if there is a check raise, is not a good strategy.
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Let's be honest, at this point Tom Dwan is basically a professional bluffcatcher
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When I wasn't sure what was going on in the hand, I would have checked back the river. Always better to win a medium pot, than lose a big one.
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6:00 And to think, if that 10 was diamonds and not clubs, Durr woulda been able to easily get away. It was basically a one outer for him to lose all that money
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The way Peter played that hand, with early position raises, called raises, and smooth checks, he either was on a nut-flush draw or a full house. Tom is unlikely to get paid off with a busted flush draw, and surely not beating a full house. The smart move for Tom was to check the river, which he would have done against players like Ivey, Negreanu etc. But here he seems to have pegged Peter on a high pair (KKs, or AAs) and hoping to get a huge pay day. That smooth check and raise on the river meant that Tom knew he was beat. Edit: And yes, I have laid down very strong hands in similar positions more times than I can count, and have only ever been wrong once. That one time when the guy just shoved all-in on the turn on a paired board, I put him on a full-house. Turns out all he had was a bottom pair but had to make an urgent trip to the bathroom...
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Every time I've led out on the river with trips and been reraised I've find myself losing to a full house. My personal experience says fold.
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Tom can't undo any of this hand but the call on the river. Any experienced card player knows they have a bluff catch making that call. He decided ultimately that Peter was bluffing. The size is small enough to actually call a bluff; which is a great indicator that it wasn't a bluff. I think honestly I probably make this call in my 2/5 local game and end up paying off a few grand. Tom, because of the insanity did it in a 500/1000 game!
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I wouldve checked the river.
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When Peter knocks over his stacks trying to push them in that screams I GOT IT!!!! PLEASE CALL !!
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This is what happens when you play very low value hands pre flop. Been there, done that.
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My entire net worth would have gone up in a bright flash and puff of smoke had I been sitting in Dwan's seat. Which is why I never sit in a game way way bigger than my bankroll.
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argument for calling is the missed flush draw, argument against calling is the small raise size.
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One question i have John.. when you and even other poker coaching YouTubers talk about range betting. Say youre in the cutoff vs UTG. And the board comes out J 8 2 rainbow, are you betting 100 percent of your range 30% of the time or 30% of your range 100% of the time just as a rough example. When you say you should be betting 40% of the time, is that 40% of your preflop range or 40% of the time regardless of your hole cards because the board crushes your range compared to UTG?
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Loving the new chair setup!
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Big Fold for me... Durr seems to not be as selfaware as he used to back in the days. It is a really interesting hand.
