Amid market jitters & guesswork, reading 2014, 2019 poll numbers & gap Modi/BJP rivals must cover

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Yogendra yadav is Politician one day, One day he is a farmer, one day is poll analyst..duggal saab

Yogendra Yadav pr to shekhar sir ko bhi bhrosa nhi 😂😂😂😂😂

Yogendra Y’s USP is to make predictions and then apologize when they go wrong.

I am no Mahashri Yogendra Yadav Baba, but i'll quote the time tested saying - "Amateurs talk strategy, professionals talk logistics". Two things are going in favor of the BJP 1) its unmatchable and even enviable Organization 2) It is once again a Presidential style Modi vs Rahul Gandhi election. Based on what I observed during my constituency's voting phase, I can safely say that the BJP organization is running round the clock. BJP workers arranged coolers, water, softdrinks for voters during the voter, while INC booth workers didn;t even arrange any shade. BJP organization ensured voter turn out. Of course, it is possible that the people that people could have voted against Modi which we shall know only on June 4. However, Congress simply does NOT have the logistics to counter the BJP and Rahul getting so easily overshadowed by Kejriwal itself tells you the status of Rahul Gandhi in an average Indian's mindscape. Congress needs to address its structural malice.

If pulwama was a factor in 2019, then ram mandir too is a factor in 2024. The voters who voted for bjp "ONLY" for pulwama ( if any), will this time vote for bjp again because of ram mandir. I do not think voters are that stupid that they will only vote because of these emotional events. BJP has transformed the lives and livelihoods of many Indians especially in rural areas and that is why the rural folk too vote for BJP.

Dear Mr Gupta, by having Yogendra Yadav run his articles in Print, you are damaging already thin credibility of ThePrint. Least you could have done is review his track record for 2019 assembly polls and 2022 UP polls. He failed miserably in his predictions because his research is agenda based. Anyway…till June 5th Modi will get defeated every day ! And then there will be June 4th to start blaming EVMs, polarization etc 😀

Shekhar Sir has to forcibly make detailed videos in response to shri shri shri shri yogendra yadav's rubbish and stupid predictions.

Has Yogendra Yadav ever been correct?

Yogendra Salim Yadav is a tail which is making the Shekhar Gupta wag 😂

Shekar's reputation was at stake. Good video to put Yogendra to his place

Most of media people never understand BHARAT. They are from India.😅😅

BJP vote share in the south will increase dramatically.

Those relying on dhruv rathee and yogibdra yadav for their election 😂what can u expect from them, as i always said no election in history of India is decided few weeks of campaigning, after first phase voting returned to normal, in states where their is fierce fight like west bengal, odisha, telangana, Andhra pardesh we are seing high turnout, no election result are changed few tweets or slogans in election campaign, opposition simply don't have what it takes to change govt at national level, especially after December election humbling and crbling of indi alliance post mamata, nitish departure it was fait accompli for this a

The number of people who have stopped watching your content should be an indicator for you how much you are connected to the common masses. When you loose that connect you no longer find yourself in a position to predict what the mood of people is. P.S you need to introspect into statistics of your channel first.

जोकर योगेंद्र बोल था मध्य प्रदेश मे bjp के 50 seats आयगी ओर 150 आ गयी ये योगेंद्र यादव पनोती है😡😡

Yesterday Yogendra was on Sardesai's TV debate with economist Surjit Bhalla and psephologist Pradeep Gupta. He started off with great bluster that BJP would be crushed. Then he toned it down slightly to say they would get less than 272 seats and then subsequently said they might just scrape through. As proof he said he had talked to some handful of persons around the country and they had given the opinion that they would not be voting for BJP this time. Bhalla on the other hand had done a scientific analysis of the historical data and concluded BJP would get close to 330 seats. Pradeep Gupta was not willing to commit anything initially but when he heard Yogendra persisting with his vague predictions, he came out and said clearly that the BJP would do very well in unexpected places. Yogendra has turned so hostile to Modi that his psephology is now tailored to always show BJP losing badly.

Honestly, even during 2019 elections there were hopes that the BJP will not be able to repeat its 2014 performance. Back then, Balakot was dismissed as a factor that would influence 2019 elections. It is only now that i hear people like Rajdeep Sardesai talk of 2019 as a wave election, driven by balakot. Similarly, people like VY analysing these elections, at this point, fail to account for Ram Mandir. Additionally, it is unlikely that traditional BJP voters will en mass vote against the BJP. I say this because ideological poles are all the more rigid now. Being a statistician myself, i know that the respondents tend to give answers that they believe the enumerator is looking for. No wonder so many exit polls fail. Additionally, what many pollsters seem to conveniently ignore is the fact that disillusionment with party A does not naturally translate into a vote for party B. Disillusioned voters have the option to not vote and also to pick nota. Unlike 2014, i do not see an environment where people want to vote out the government in power therefore a transfer of vote from BJP to INC is highly unlikely. Yes, the number of seats may come down but will only happen because the BJP is peaking.

Hey can you do the same analysis from the opposite point of view? Like how did they win and where etc?

Everybody is predicting what seats BJP will get but nobody is predicting about Congress seats. Why?😂😂😂